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Blair Committed UK to Iraq War in 2002: Memo

“If the political context were right, people would support regime change,” Blair said eight months before war.

CAIRO, May 1, 2005 (IslamOnline.net) – British Prime Minister Tony Blair had already committed himself to a regime change in Iraq by force eight months before the invasion-turned-occupation of the oil-rich Arab country, a leaked government memo has shown.

“If the political context were right, people would support regime change,” Blair told his government’s inner circle on Tuesday, July 23, 2002, according to the meeting’s minutes published Sunday, May 1, by The Sunday Times.

“The two key issues were whether the military plan worked and whether we had the political strategy to give the military plan the space to work,” Blair made clear.

Foreign Secretary Jack Straw admitted, during the meeting, that the case for war was “thin” as “Saddam was not threatening his neighbours and his WMD capability was less than that of Libya, North Korea or Iran”.

He suggested they should “work up” an ultimatum about weapons inspectors in order to “help with the legal justification”.

A separate secret briefing for the meeting said Britain and America had to “create” conditions to justify a war, The Sunday Times said.

Washington and London invaded Iraq in 2003 without a mandate from the UN Security Council.

In a 13-page legal advice to Blair March 7, 2003, Attorney General Lord Goldsmith said military action against Iraq was likely to be challenged under international law based on a number of counts.

UK Eyes Only

The Downing Street minutes, headed “Secret and strictly personal — UK eyes only”, detail one of the most important meetings ahead of the invasion, The Sunday Times said.

“This record is extremely sensitive. No further copies should be made. It should be shown only to those with a genuine need to know its contents,” it reads.

Copies were sent to Straw, Defence Secretary Geoff Hoon, Goldsmith, and military and intelligence chiefs who attended the meeting.

Also listed on the minutes are Alastair Campbell, then Blair’s director of strategy, Jonathan Powell, his chief of staff, and Sally Morgan, director of government relations.

The British daily attributed the secrecy to the fact that the memo records discussion of US plans for invasion and that at the time Blair had given no indication that plans were so advanced.

“True, tensions were running high, and fears of terrorism were widespread. But Blair’s constant refrain was that “no decisions” had been taken about what to do with Iraq,” noted the paper.

Downing Street, however, claimed the document contained “nothing new”.

But Sir Menzies Campbell, Liberal Democrat foreign affairs spokesman, said the leaked memo showed Blair had “agreed to an illegal regime change with the Bush administration. It set out to create the justification for going to war. It was to be war by any means.”

Cabinet at War

“He (Blair) could try to fight to stay, but I doubt he will,” Brown said.

Adding to the pressure on Blair, the Mail on Sunday said that the government was plunged into bitter in-fighting to choose a Blair successor.

The heated discussion comes amid fresh signs that Blair is ready, or forced, to hand over power to Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown early in Labour's third term, according to the paper.

Quoting sources close to the Chancellor, it said Brown had won a commitment from Blair to stand down “much sooner”, in return for his support after Blair lost public trust over his handling of the Iraq war.

Some insiders said Blair could go as soon as 18 months after the election, the paper added.

The fury erupted after Brown openly challenging the way Blair had handled the Iraq war, the Mail said.

In an astonishing put-down, he said there would be no similar rush to war, asserting that in future the decision to send British forces into action would be taken by MPs, not the prime minister.

“It is unlikely that, except in the most exceptional circumstances, a government would choose not to have a vote in Parliament,” he said.

“Labour MPs know in their hearts that although Mr Blair has achieved incredible things, it is time to move on. He could try to fight to stay, but I doubt he will.” 

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