CAIRO,
January 1 (IslamOnline.net) - Defying a solution for more than 57
years and igniting on and off border skirmishes between the
nuclear-capable India and Pakistan, a leading Pakistani think tank has
proposed the Northern Ireland model as the best way to resolve the
Kashmir problem.
Citing
similarities between the disputed Himalayan region of Kashmir and
Northern Ireland, the Institute of Regional Studies (IRS) concluded in
a thorough study that the two neighbors can duplicate the 1998 Belfast
Agreement that turned off decades of violence and bloodshed.
The
Kashmir study draws up a contrastive analysis of both crises,
including their causes, development and ways and principles necessary
for conflict resolution.
It
attributed the successful peace agreement in Northern Ireland to
London’s acceptance of the Irish people’s right of
self-determination, the great flexibility demonstrated by the
political parties concerned and the behind-the-scenes diplomacy.
The
Belfast Agreement (also known as the Good Friday Agreement) was signed
in Belfast on April 10, 1998, by the British and Irish governments.
A
referendum held in both the north and the south on 22 May 1998
endorsed the agreement which was also given the thumbs-up by most
Northern Ireland political parties.
The
agreement was preceded by a historic ceasefire agreement in 1997 with
the Provisional Irish Republican Army (PIRA), which fought for British
withdrawal from Northern Ireland and creation of an all-Ireland
socialist republic.
Indian
Reluctance
Founded
in 1982, the IRS is an independent, non-profit research center devoted
to the study of South Asia, Southwest Asia, Central Asia, China as
well as the Indian Ocean region.
Its
study concluded that a permanent solution to the Kashmir problem is
virtually threatened with the Indian reluctance to give the people of
the disputed region the right to self-determination pursuant to a
series of United Nations resolutions.
After
gaining independence from Britain in 1947, both India and Pakistan
engaged in a deadly war over the disputed Himalayan region of Jammu
and Kashmir.
From
April 1948 to 1957, the UN passed a series of resolutions, affirming
the right of self-determination of the people of Kashmir in accordance
with a referendum to be held under international auspices.
Kashmir
is probably the world's most well-known territorial dispute, and most
maps use a dotted-line to indicate the territory's uncertain
boundaries.
Both
India and Pakistan continue to assert their sovereignty or rights over
the entire region.
India
considers all of Kashmir to be an integral part of India, and often
makes statements domestically about acquiring the Pakistani half,
known in Pakistan as ‘Azad’ (free Kashmir).
The
Pakistani leadership repeatedly indicated willingness to accept
alternatives such as a demilitarized Kashmir, if sovereignty of Azad
Kashmir was to be extended over the Kashmir valley by which India
would retain parts of Kashmir on its side of the Chenab river, and
Pakistan the other side.
Geographically,
Pakistan controls the northwest portion (Northern Areas, Pakistan and
Azad Kashmir), India controls the central and southern portion (Jammu
and Kashmir).
Both
countries routinely exchange fire along the 750 kilometer (465 miles)
Line of Control and their 230 kilometer (143 mile) international
borders.
The
year 2003 witnessed signs of rapprochement between both countries,
that had fought two wars over the Muslim-majority region of Kashmir.
The
jerky start to peace moves led to the resumption of a bi-weekly bus
service in July.
On
November 26, the two countries agreed to maintain a ceasefire along
the LoC, the first such total ceasefire declared by both powers in
nearly 15 years.
A
year later, on November 17, 2004, a battalion of Indian paratroopers
pulled out of the southern Kashmir town Anantnag with Prime Minister
Manmohan Singh hinted at further measures to reduce tensions.
According
to unofficial estimates, more than 38,000 people have died in
Indian-administered Kashmir since 1989 in a separatist drive led by
the Jammu Kashmir Liberation Front, a group that wants the complete
independence of Kashmir from India and Pakistan.