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Musharraf’s Second Term Stirs Debate

Musharraf came to power in a military coup and plans to stay on for a second term.

By Umer Farooq, IOL Correspondent

ISLAMABAD, May 18, 2005 (IslamOnline.net) – The announcement that Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf is seeking a second term in office has stirred a debate Wednesday, May 18, likely to intensify in a country that is still struggling to cope with the idea of a democracy run by a military president, who came to power through a bloodless coup.

Pakistani government spokesman and Information Minister, Sheikh Rashid Ahmed said Tuesday that Musharraf “would remain President beyond 2007”, meaning a second term. But Ahmed offered no answer to the question whether Musharraf would retain his uniform after the completion of his first Presidential tenure.

The announcement drew a flurry of stern reactions from opposition groups, which already question the constitutional validity of Mushharraf’s elections and his holding of dual office as President and as Chief of the Army Staff (COAS).

Musharraf, however, enjoys support among educated classes and intelligentsia of Pakistani society, and it is there that the announcement has been most welcomed, according to IOL correspondent.

“I think stability is more important for Pakistan, so there is no harm in Musharraf continuing for the second term if it ensures stability and given the regional and international situation it become all the more important” Ishtiaq Ahmed, Associate Professor of political science at Quaid-e-Azam University, told IOL.

Early Negotiations

The announcement coincided with reports about government negotiations behind the scenes with opposition groups, especially the party of exiled leader Benazir Bhutto.

Along with his announcement on Musharraf’s intention to seek a second term in office, the information minister said that the government is in contact with all the opposition groups and exiled political leaders including former Prime Minister, Nawaz Sharif.

Hitting back, leader of the coalition of six religious parties, Mutihada Majalisa Amal (MMA), Hussein Ahmed told reporters that Musharraf was “an unconstitutional President and future polity of the country must be governed according to the 1947 constitution”.

Two years back the same coalition of religious groups endorsed the constitutional amendments, which consolidated Musharraf’s position as President.

Politically charged sections of the Pakistani society view Musharraf’s second tenure as harmful for the restoration of “full democracy” in the country.

“How can you claim to be a democracy if your President is wearing uniform and if there are arbitrary amendments in your Constitution? The most important question is what procedure will be adopted for the elections of President after 2007, will there be another referendum?” Riaz Muhammad Khan, a senior High Court lawyer, told IOL.

In 2004, the parliament endorsed Musharraf’s decision to hold dual office of President and Chief of the Army Staff (COAS). However, the validity of the dual office act will expire in 2007.

Confusion

Rashid Ahmed made the announcement.

Opposition leaders believe the announcement and government admission that it is negotiating with the opposition groups is aimed at creating confusion.

“The government is trying to create confusion but we are very clear that the constitution must be restored in its original form,” said Raja Zafar-ul-Haq, Chairman of the Nawaz Sharif group of Muslim League.

But analysts believe that the government negotiations with the opposition groups especially Pakistan People Party (PPP) is at an advanced stage.

“There is a real possibility of deal between Musharraf and PPP, its quite open now and now that Musharraf himself has admitted this, we can say that such an understanding could lead to reshaping the ruling coalition and it would provide an option for the second term,” Farhan Bokhari, analyst and a senior journalist, told IOL.

The present ruling coalition in Pakistan comprises PML (Q) and break away factions of Pakistan People’s Party (PPP).

Bokhari added that the other possibility is that the announcement about Muharraf’s second term would unite the opposition groups, which are already in an aggressive mood.

Following contacts between government and PPP, other political groups have started distancing themselves from People’s Party.

Food First

The general public in Pakistan remains indifferent to political wrangling in Islamabad primarily because of burden of price hike and inflation, the announcement, however, drew the attention of the public and caused shockwaves in the political circles.

“The issue of President retaining two offices and continuing beyond 2007 has generated considerable interest among the public and it has become an issue of street talks” Azeem Khalid, a senior analyst working with a daily Urdu newspaper, told IOL Wednesday, May 18.

“For us, it is more important that the prices of essential commodities come down. I will vote for Musharraf in his second tenure only if his government can ensure that essential commodities are available in the market at cheap prices” Muhammad Arif, a clerk with a private firm in Islamabad, told IOL Wednesday.

A house wife expressed similar views on this announcement of great political significance.

“I don’t care who will be the president after 2007, for us it is more important what relief the government will give to the common man in the upcoming budget” said Amber Majeed, a housewife.

Some political analysts went even further by casting doubts on the very authority of the government spokesman to make announcements on such a significant political issue.

“It was widely expected that Musharraf would continue as President after completion of his tenure for the second term, however I really doubt whether Minister of information have been authorized to make such an announcement, because it would generate considerable controversy pre-maturely,” said Farhan Bokhari, who is working as a Islamabad correspondent of London-based Financial Times.

It is expected that this announcement would remain a issue of debate in the political and constitutional circles of the country in the days to come.

The announcement about Musharraf’s tenure came at a time when the country is bracing for annual budget and the ruling coalition is coming under increasing strain primarily because of political pressure from the opposition and the Musharraf’s hobnobbing with opposition groups.

Two days earlier, Musharraf presided over a meeting of ruling party, Muslim League, to resolve internal differences among the party’s top leaders.

In his first tenure Musharraf was elected through a referendum the results of which were later endorsed by the Pakistani parliament.

However, the constitution of Pakistan lays down a separate procedure for the election of the president through parliament and four provincial assemblies.

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